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Australia’s Top Performing Areas Over the Past Decade

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2020-03-11



Brisbane, Adelaide and Canberra are in the running for the cities with best capital growth prospects in the coming 10 year period.

According to Corelogic data, Sydney recorded the highest average annual capital growth over the 10-year period at 5.5 per cent, followed by Melbourne on 4.9 per cent and Hobart at 3.4 per cent.

“But the other capital cities recorded less than stellar average housing value growth rates over the past decade,” Property Investment Professionals of Australia chairman Peter Koulizos said.

The Corelogic analysis, undertaken with PIPA, identifies the best performing locations for average annual capital growth in every Australian city over the past 10 years.

“Annual growth of between 1.3 per cent to 2.8 per cent over the past decade is part of the reason why so many investors and property investment experts are eyeing Brisbane, Adelaide and Canberra as potentially having the best capital growth prospects over the next 10-year period,” Koulizos said.

City location

State

Average annual 10-year growth

Greater Sydney

NSW

5.5%

Greater Melbourne

VIC

4.9%

Greater Brisbane

QLD

1.3%

Greater Adelaide

SA

1.5%

Greater Perth

WA

-1.4%

Greater Hobart

TAS

3.4%

Greater Darwin

NT

-1.9%

Australian Capital Territory

ACT

2.8%

Source: Corelogic.com.au


Long-term trends

“Investing in the housing market is typically a long-term strategy,” Corelogic head of research Tim Lawless said.

“Short-term movements are less important than the longer-term trends, which typically see housing values moving through a cycle where values will rise, fall and track sideways,” Lawless said.

The Corelogic research found the city location with Australia’s highest annual capital growth over the past 10 years was Lakemba in Sydney's Canterbury region.

Laekmba house prices increased by 8.4 per cent annually, with its median house value more than doubling over the decade to around $881,000 currently.

Average annual 10-year growth

Median house value 2020

Indexed median house value 2010

(NSW) Lakemba

8.4%

$881,444

$394,504

(NSW) Oatlands - Dundas Valley

8.1%

$1,441,496

$662,302

(NSW) Carlingford

7.8%

$1,545,664

$728,476

(VIC) Rockbank - Mount Cottrell

7.9%

$598,268

$279,684

(VIC) Doncaster East (South)

7.8%

$1,263,792

$593,735

(VIC) Doncaster East (North)

7.5%

$1,306,834

$636,597

(QLD) Robertson

3.7%

$1,019,930

$710,160

(QLD) Tarragindi

3.6%

$813,738

$571,106

(QLD) New Farm

3.5%

$1,340,392

$950,745

Source: Corelogic.com.au


Sydney is also home to the second ranking, Oatlands-Dundas Valley region of Carlingford with a rise of 8.1 per cent over the period.

Its median house value increased from $662,000 to $1.41 million over the past decade, according to the data.

And Melbourne’s west Rockbank-Mount Cottrell took the third spot, with 7.9 per cent annual average growth over the 10 years.

Its median house value has risen to nearly $600,000 from $280,000.

The national results show that a mixture of affordable and blue chip suburbs had performed well over the period. Although, Koulizos said the research also showed that locations within markets that were deemed “subdued” continued to record strong housing value growth.

“Adelaide only recorded average annual growth of 1.3 per cent over the past decade, but its top performing location of Prospect saw prices increase by 3.4 per year over the period,” he said.

“Likewise, in Darwin, where prices reduced on average 1.9 per cent annually, in Rosebery-Bellamack median house values increased by 3.2 per cent at the same time.

Average annual 10-year growth

Median house value 2020

Indexed median house value 2010

ADELAIDE

SA: Prospect

3.4%

$751,346

$536,483

SA: North Adelaide

3.3%

$989,911

$718,831

SA: Nailsworth – Broadview

3.2%

$708,291

$516,968

CANBERRA

ACT: Casey

6.4%

$698,870

$375,568

ACT: Crace

5.8%

$808,285

$460,134

ACT: Forde

5.5%

$818,003

$477,091

HOBART

TAS: Bridgewater - Gagebrook

5.2%

$259,149

$156,164

TAS: Rokeby

5.0%

$329,901

$203,001

TAS: West Moonah

4.6%

$453,731

$290,399

PERTH

WA: Riverton - Shelley - Rossmoyne

0.6%

$750,307

$708,846

WA: Willetton

0.5%

$690,546

$659,639

WA: Perth City

0%

$831,562

$834,140

DARWIN

NT: Rosebery - Bellamack

3.2%

$517,780

$377,709

NT: Palmerston - South

1.6%

$435,544

$370,459

NT: Rapid Creek

-0.6%

$591,065

$624,617

Source: Corelogic.com.au


Looking ahead over the next 10 year period Lawless says investors are likely to find the best performing markets as “quite different”.

“Just as they were over the earlier decade where, for example, mining regions and regional coastal markets where some of the strongest performing areas,” Lawless said.